All in Economics
Meanwhile, Warren Buffett is betting humans will be driving trucks for a long time to come. He bought 38.6% of Knoxville, Tenn.-based family-owned Pilot Travel Centers LLC. Pilot Flying J and plans to boost ownership to 80 percent in 2023.
Not bitcoin backed, not ethereum backed, g-o-l-d backed. How low tech of the Chinese. For the moment, oil is priced in dollars, whether it’s Brent or West Texas Intermediate.
That was October 5, 2013. The following Monday bitcoin traded for $125.94. My lost crypto was no big deal then. Now, trading over $4,000 per coin. Much bigger deal. It turns out I’m just one of many to lose my coin.
Musk has never met a timeline he hasn’t blown, whether it's making cares, rockets or solar panels.
“Abolish social housing, scrap prescriptive planning regulations and usher in the wholesale privatisation of our streets, squares and parks,” wrote Oliver Wainwright who was paraphrasing comments made by Patrik Schumacher shocking his architect colleagues in Berlin. Suddenly, Schumacher became “the Trump of architecture."
The housing and lending markets are among the most distorted by government intervention. By bailing out Fannie, Freddie and the big banks, not to mention crony capitalism like the Lennar/FDIC Rialto partnership, the housing and debt markets were never allowed to crash and cleanse in a properly capitalistic way.
“She underestimated the glacial pace that these events take place at. She misunderstood the leeway that a local government or state is allowed based solely on past performance and presumed credibility. Most importantly she misunderstood the lengths that elected officials will go to, to avoid a problem.”
My reflections on a certain real estate bubble and how it seemed similar to his acute certainty of how the future would progress made no dent in his enthusiasm.
A medallion being essentially a license to drive a cab, $150,000 to $450,000 doesn’t seem like the bottom, however at the peak. 2014, a medallion went for $1.3 million. By the way, Uber was founded in 2009, but New York cab owners either didn’t get the memo, or didn't understand the implications.
Pot is available everywhere and only when government gets in the way does supply become a problem. The California growers association worries, as Thomas Fuller writes, “there may not be enough regulated marijuana to serve the legalized market, a highly paradoxical situation in a state that is by far the largest cannabis producer.”
Crypto fans might wonder what the “craft” refers to. Grant’s believes the burgeoning digital currencies have more in common with craft beers and government fiat currencies than Krugerrands, Eagles and the golden like.
Zell explains that entrepreneurs think differently. “It’s about how you perceive the world,” he writes. “Entrepreneurs are the ones who are always looking for opportunities to do things better. They don’t just recognize problems; they see solutions.”
The Elliott Wave folks remind us, “It’s always like this in the end. The easy way becomes the obvious way. In this case, all a person has to do is push a button and literally create money. What could go wrong?”
there's nothing shady or menacing about the business of subprime. On the contrary, they say, specialist lenders in this area are performing a vital service for the world's largest economy
But there’s one big reason why the rich still come out ahead -- instead of stocks, the middle class puts a large share of its wealth into residential real estate. Houses tend to earn lower returns than stocks.
The big monied real estate players know this real estate boom is long in the tooth and are raising money to buy up the distressed pieces when the time comes.
Wages aren’t going anywhere so, “For most Americans, whose median household income, adjusted for inflation, is lower than it was at its peak in 1999, borrowing has been the answer to maintaining their standard of living,” Golle writes.
“Because asset prices aren’t part of official inflation measures, and because identifying an asset bubble is beyond their scope, central bankers eschew using monetary policy to respond to them.”
The big three miners have cut their collective debt in half from 2014 and now the question is what do they do? “The question for investors is whether miners will continue to pay down debt—and boost dividends—or, lured by rising commodity prices, return to the big-spending ways that got them into trouble two years ago,” writes Patterson.
Here we are a few months later and Dalio says, batten down the hatches. “As a rule, periods of lower risk/volatility tend to lead to periods of greater risk/volatility.”
