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Based in Las Vegas, Douglas french writes about the  economy and book reviews. 

Douglas in Vegas
Real Estate President to 86 1031s?
Jun 14

Jun 14 Real Estate President to 86 1031s?

Douglas French
Las Vegas Market, Economics

 It would indeed be ironic if Donald Trump of all Presidents would get behind 86ing 1031s.   

Polish Maverick's Place Peddled Again
Jun 13

Jun 13 Polish Maverick's Place Peddled Again

Douglas French
Las Vegas Market

Eighth-grade graduate Bob Stupak had built the Stratosphere from nothing and $550 million from someone who couldn’t have been paying attention and opened in April 1996, at the time, the 3rd most expensive hotel-casino project in Las Vegas history. The self-proclaimed Polish Maverick was bankrupt three months later.   

Help Wanted: Lenders with No Experience (or Short Memories) to Make Risky Mortgages
Jun 12

Jun 12 Help Wanted: Lenders with No Experience (or Short Memories) to Make Risky Mortgages

Douglas French
Las Vegas Market, Economics

Of course there’s a good market for loans to folks who don’t fit in the Dodd-Frank box and lenders can earn 6% to 10% from borrowers sporting credit scores of 660 and below. But fresh-faced originators can’t figure out how to make the loans.

Flip It, Flip It Good
Jun 10

Jun 10 Flip It, Flip It Good

Douglas French
Las Vegas Market

Las Vegas house flippers booked an average gross profit of $51,500 per deal in the first quarter. That’s up 29 percent from the same period last year and the biggest haul since at least early 2005

Tesla: Automobile Rent Seeker
Jun 9

Jun 9 Tesla: Automobile Rent Seeker

Douglas French
Economics

After state government paid $43 million to brothel owner Lance Gilman for Tesla’s land and now has forked over another $59 million in transferrable tax credits, taxpayer have “invested” $214,000 in each $22.00/hour job.  

Illinois Heads toward Bankruptcy, while Bankrupting its Citizens
Jun 3

Jun 3 Illinois Heads toward Bankruptcy, while Bankrupting its Citizens

Douglas French
Economics, Speeches & Lectures

Without legislative action, Illinois will be the Greece of the USA Zone after “Moody’s followed S&P’s downgrade Thursday, citing Illinois’s underfunded pensions and the record backlog of bills that are equivalent to about 40 percent of its operating budget.” 

Credit now Repaired, Money will Multiply
Jun 1

Jun 1 Credit now Repaired, Money will Multiply

Douglas French
Economics

An increase in lending might just kick start the money multiplier and then some honest-to-goodness, noticeable, government-can’t-deny-it price inflation might be just around the corner.

Up, up and Away, or Grinding to a Halt?
May 31

May 31 Up, up and Away, or Grinding to a Halt?

Douglas French
Las Vegas Market

instead of leading the turn as they normally do, new home sales have lagged, both in time and quantity. A yawning gap has opened between the rate of growth in full time jobs, and the new home sales rate.”

Millennials, You Don't Need No Stinking Down Payment.
May 25

May 25 Millennials, You Don't Need No Stinking Down Payment.

Douglas French
Economics, Whimsy

 

The American dream of paying on a big fat, paycheck sucking and mobility stifling mortgage is just waiting for you. Take the plunge. Make America great. 

 

Shortage of Hammer Swingers
May 22

May 22 Shortage of Hammer Swingers

Douglas French
Economics, Las Vegas Market

“Construction labor costs are rising an average of 4% to 5% annually, outpacing inflation, according to Anirban Basu, chief economist of the Associated Builders and Contractors. ‘The situation is going to get worse,’” he told Grant.

The Cake, the Rain, and Positive Mood
May 19

May 19 The Cake, the Rain, and Positive Mood

Douglas French
Whimsy, Book Review

Jimmy Webb, writes in his new book The Cake and the Rain, “My imagination soared under the influence of these Beatles (and “world class LSD”). Sgt. Pepper was nothing less than a heroic album. It was as important as any music ever written.”   

Sin City Cash Burning
May 19

May 19 Sin City Cash Burning

Douglas French
Economics, Whimsy, Las Vegas Market

The Vegas convention sweet spot on the calendar has come and gone and I figured that would be his explanation for the tepid market in rides. No, he said it's a supply problem.  Too many drivers. He told me,

Less Supply = Higher Priced Homes
May 15

May 15 Less Supply = Higher Priced Homes

Douglas French
Las Vegas Market, Economics

The shortage of supply, increases in costs, and millennials finally catching the home ownership bug has median prices jumping. Nationwide, “the median was $316,200 last year versus $240,900 in 2005.”

Millennials See White Picket Fences
May 11

May 11 Millennials See White Picket Fences

Douglas French
Las Vegas Market, Economics

“Virtually all major builders are migrating away from the luxury homes that dominated the early years of the economic expansion and are focusing on lower price points to cater to this burgeoning clientele,”

Las Vegas Housing
May 3

May 3 Las Vegas Housing

Douglas French
Las Vegas Market

The home market is still highly sensitive to interest rates.  Employment/building permits is an interesting ratio that for the moment looks good, but could flip in a hurry.

Bankers, the Last to Know
Apr 14

Apr 14 Bankers, the Last to Know

Douglas French
Economics

It seems Lord Keynes had one thing right when he wrote, “Banks and bankers are by nature blind. They have not seen what was coming…

Suddenly has Arrived
Apr 10

Apr 10 Suddenly has Arrived

Douglas French
Economics

Despite nine full years of zero-to-slight interest rates, “suddenly” has arrived. “Total US bankruptcy filings by consumers and businesses in March spiked 40% from February

Getting Small Will Mean Sellin' with Yellen
Apr 6

Apr 6 Getting Small Will Mean Sellin' with Yellen

Douglas French

No doubt it’s time. Grant’s Interest Rate Observer points to the Fed’s 111.7 to 1 leverage ratio this week and quips “the central bank’s financial documents come to look like exhibits from some Delaware bankruptcy-court proceeding.”

No Need For Government Force Legal Pot Will Make Higher Wages
Mar 30

Mar 30 No Need For Government Force Legal Pot Will Make Higher Wages

Douglas French
Las Vegas Market, Economics

McCurdy should notice what’s going on in Denver. “Colorado’s restaurant labor market is in Defcon 5 right now, because of weed facilities,”

More Houses, More Squatting
Mar 27

Mar 27 More Houses, More Squatting

Douglas French

While economists are worried about too few houses being built, squatting in vacant homes has become an epidemic in Las Vegas,

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Douglas French (NMLS#1464582) writes from Las Vegas, providing commentary on the Vegas economy, financial markets, and book reviews.  He earned his masters in economics at UNLV under the direction of Murray Rothbard and Hans Hoppe. 

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